Tennessee judge issues injunction blocking state move against Kalshi
US Federal Judge Aleta Trauger granted Kalshi a preliminary injunction against Tennessee, finding its sports event contracts fall...
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Prediction Markets
Prediction market platforms, event contracts, sports data, and regulated market infrastructure.
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Federal Reserve Paper Reinforces Kalshi’s Value as Accurate Macroeconomic Prediction Tool
The paper, which examined several prediction markets on the platform, concluded that Kalshi, as a regulated platform, provided a v...
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Disclosure Odds Double After Trump Calls to Release Alien and UAP Files
Prediction markets more than doubled the odds of confirming alien life as real after Trump directed his administration to identify...
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Polymarket Brings Live Probability Tables to Substack Authors
Polymarket announced that it has entered an exclusive partnership with Substack to integrate real-time prediction market data dire...
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Prince Andrew Arrested as Epstein Files Explode — Prediction Markets Bet on Who’s Next
The opening weeks of 2026 have been nothing short of tumultuous, as millions of newly released files tied to the late and convicte...
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Polymarket’s lawsuit could decide who regulates US prediction markets
Polymarket’s lawsuit challenges state authority and could redefine whether the CFTC controls US prediction markets or whether stat...
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Kalshi data could inform Federal Reserve policy: Fed researchers
Researchers said Kalshi’s “rich intraday dynamics” enable it to measure expectations in real-time when major financial events and...
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Prediction Markets Trigger Federal-State Clash as CFTC Defends Authority
The CFTC is escalating its defense of exclusive authority over U.S. commodity derivatives and prediction markets as legal battles...
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Nevada sues Kalshi after prediction market loses bid to stop state action
Kalshi is looking to have Nevada’s lawsuit heard in federal court, again asserting it is subject only to federal commodity exchang...
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Bitwise, GraniteShares join race for prediction market-style ETFs
Two more ETF issuers have filed prospectuses for six US election prediction market ETFs, allowing investors to gain exposure to el...
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Crypto lobby forms working group seeking prediction market clarity
The Prediction Markets Working Group, launched by The Digital Chamber, will champion the sector’s values while advocating for the...
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CFTC chair doubles down on defending prediction markets from state lawsuits
Michael Selig said the US financial regulator had filed an amicus brief against what he called an “onslaught of state-led litigati...
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Polygon daily fees flip Ethereum amid prediction market boom
Polygon briefly surpassed Ethereum in daily fees as Polymarket activity surged, highlighting shifting user demand toward Layer-2 n...
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Nearly 25% of Draftkings Sportsbook Revenue Contested by Prediction Platforms
Recent data indicates that nearly a quarter of Draftkings’ sportsbook revenue is now being challenged by the rapid rise of federal...
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Prediction Markets Remain Skeptical on Disclosure After Obama Confirm Aliens ‘Are Real’
Even after former U.S. President Barack Obama recently confirmed that aliens were real, prediction markets remain skeptical about...
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Vitalik Warns Prediction Markets Are ‘Cursed,’ Pushes Hedging to Replace Fiat
Key Takeaways: According to Vitalik Buterin, prediction markets are being exploited towards short-term bets, bringing restricted v...
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From $55K to $150K: How Bettors on Polymarket, Kalshi, and Myriad Are Pricing Bitcoin’s Future
Traders on Polymarket, Myriad, and Kalshi are putting real money behind their expectations for bitcoin’s price trajectory in 2026....
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Ethereum Co-Founder Vitalik Buterin Calls for Prediction Market Reset
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin criticized the current direction of prediction markets, warning that an increasing focus on sh...
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