Ethereum chart pattern supports ‘moon shot’ rally to new price highs if confirmed — Trader

Key Takeaways:

• Veteran trader Peter Brandt suggests a potential Ethereum rally to $3,800–$4,800 if ETH breaks above a rising wedge pattern.

• A short-term pullback may occur as the taker buy-sell ratio drops below one, signaling caution from futures traders.

Ethereum’s native token Ether (ETH) opened its weekly candle at $1,807 on May 7, and now it is close to recording its highest 7-day returns of 38% since December 2020.

Ether also surpassed its realized price for accumulating addresses ($1,900), which is the average cost basis for holders, signaling profits for users. As illustrated in the chart, most of the buying pressure for ETH came from Binance, which is currently the most active exchange for ETH traders.

Elevated activity at Binance and an uptick in outflows reflect strong trader confidence, liquidity, and sustained bullish momentum in the current market.

In a recent X post, veteran trader Peter Brandt highlighted a developing market structure that could pave the way for an Ethereum rally, provided the altcoin breaks through a key "congestion" pattern. Brandt identified a rising wedge formation on the chart—a pattern often considered bearish.

However, he suggested that a breakout above this pattern could propel Ethereum’s price toward the descending resistance line, targeting a range between $3,800 and $4,800.

This analysis marks a notable shift in Brandt’s outlook from 2024, aligning with the renewed optimism for the altcoin.

Ethereum futures saw a 42% surge in open interest (OI), climbing from $21.3 billion to $30.4 billion between May 8 and May 11, 2025. Nearing its all-time high of $32 billion, this spike reflects heightened market activity and growing trader engagement. The rapid increase in OI signals strong interest in Ether futures, potentially paving the way for increased price volatility.

Related: Altseason is coming, 40% daily gains to become ‘new normal’ — Analyst

Ethereum’s higher-time frame (HTF) chart reflects a price rise on the weekly chart, where the altcoin has jumped toward the 50 and 100-week exponential moving averages (EMAs) over the past couple of weeks. Historically, such a recovery marks a price bottom but could also signal the beginning of a small correction period after the EMAs retest.

Using Fibonacci retracement levels, ETH has retested the 0.5 to 0.618 range (orange box), which aligns with a price level of $2,500. This retest represents the first leg of the recovery, but a short-term pullback may occur before further bullish action unfolds.

With ETH prices moving at a parabolic rate over the past few days, liquidation heatmaps noted higher buy-side liquidity between $2,200 and $2,400, after a short-squeeze took prices up to $2,608.

Similarly, the taker buy-sell ratio is beginning to slow down and dropped below 1 on May 10. The ratio of buy volume divided by sell volume of takers in perpetual swap trades indicates futures sentiment, and a ratio below 1 implies short-term bearishness.

Thus, traders could approach the coming days more cautiously, with ETH consolidating under the $2,500 level.

Related: Ethereum price greenlit for further upside after surprise 29% ETH rally

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.