Will Curve DAO (CRV) Recover? Here’s What On-Chain Data Says

Curve DAO (CRV) has continued to decline recently. Here’s what on-chain data says regarding if a rebound is probable for the coin anytime soon.

In a new insight post, the on-chain analytics firm Santiment has recently discussed how the underlying metrics related to CRV have looked. The first relevant metric here is the “Supply Distribution,” which tells us the percentage of the Curve DAO supply each investor group holds.

In particular, the cohort of interest here holds between 10,000 and 100 million tokens of the asset. This is an extensive range covering the likes of the sharks and whales.

Here is a chart that shows the trend in the holdings of this CRV group over the past year:

As displayed in the above graph, the indicator’s value has shot up recently, implying that sizeable Curve DAO investors, such as the sharks and whales, have sharply expanded their reserves.

About two weeks back, these holders had been carrying a combined 33% of the circulating supply, but today that value has risen to 41%. “This is a massive ascension and is now the most by far that these sharks and whales have held in well over a year,” notes Santiment.

This accumulation from these key investors has come right after the big plunge that Curve DAO observed, suggesting that they find the current levels a worthy buying opportunity. Naturally, this is a positive sign for the cryptocurrency’s price.

The next indicator of interest here is the “whale transaction count,” which keeps track of the total number of CRV transfers happening on the chain carrying a value of more than $100,000.

When Curve Dao had observed its plunge earlier, the value of this indicator had registered a sharp spike. This means that the whales had been actively making moves back then.

Since then, however, the metric’s value has returned to normal, suggesting that these humongous investors aren’t showing any extraordinary activity.

As these investors had made many transfers earlier for selling purposes, the indicator calming down could imply that this cohort has stopped applying selling pressure.

“With prices still significantly lower than two weeks ago, a follow-up whale transaction spike may be a foreshadow to a quick recovery,” explains the on-chain analytics firm.

CRV has been at relatively high levels recently in terms of the development activity (that is, the amount of work that the Curve DAO developers have been putting into the public GitHub repository).

Generally, a high development activity implies that the coin is still being backed by its developers, which can be one of the signs to look out for to know if a project is still alive and kicking. Santiment said:

By no means is 10-14 notable GitHub submissions per day breaking any records, but it is indicative of a team that is still looking to innovate, improve, and move past the recent FUD news that negatively impacted the crowd’s perceptions of it.

Curve DAO is trading around $0.59 at the time of writing, down 3% in the last week.